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Finally – Some Good News Out of Europe  $

After months and months of reports that suggest that growth will miss forecasts in most of Europe there is a report of a country that is going to see greater…

Confrontation  $

The Europeans really did not expect this. In the world of the EU and the Eurozone there has always been a lot of posturing and rhetoric. These are democracies after…

More Doubt as to Rate Hike Timing

The League of Organized Fed Watchers (LOOFA) has had its hands full the last few months as they try to determine what way the Open Market Committee members might tilt…

Industrial Production Slips $

Much of the data that has emerged regarding the industrial sector is about what one would expect and thus far it doesn’t appear that the markets are getting all that…

Note on Bankruptcies – Stop and Think. $

Our partners over at the National Association of Credit Managers sent out a note today regarding bankruptcies. Thus far in 2015, commercial bankruptcies overall were down for the first quarter…

Atlanta Fed Update on GDP after Housing Starts.

As one would expect, the weaker housing starts data mentioned above has impacted Q1 GDP.   The Atlanta Fed’s GDP NOW forecast has Q1 GDP currently trending at about .1%.  This…

Housing Starts “Improve”. $

We don’t mean to be flippant about the headline. Housing starts did increase in March from an annualized rate of 908,000 to 926,000. But, this is so far off of…

Philly Fed Manufacturing Activity Rebounds Modestly.

The Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index came in higher in April at 7.5, up from 5.0 in March. This is one of our earliest measures of manufacturing activity each month and…

Q1 2014 vs Q1 2015 Weather Comparison $

    We were asked by a client to look at the year over year impact of weather on Q1. Although we can’t share all of the intelligence that came…

Chinese Export Shockwave. $

Chinese Export Shockwave.   $

The markets shrugged it off yesterday, but Chinese export activity in March sent a shockwave through us yesterday. Everyone expected them to be a little sluggish given the US West…

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