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Philly Fed Index Inches Up in Early August.

The Philly Fed gives us one of the earliest readings on manufacturing and general business activity. Again, it can run contrary sometimes to the national manufacturing trends – it is…

Fed Noise. $

Looking at the headlines from yesterday, the Federal Reserve hinted that a rate hike was ‘not far off’.They cited a number of various economic conditions that warranted a rate hike,…

If Only I were a Salesman $

  I spent a day with a client in Atlanta, and presented in front of some of their top sales executives. These folks are intimately engaged with customers ranging from…

A Great Point from ZeroHedge Regarding “Signals”.

ZeroHedge ran a short piece today that looked at “hard data” on Federal Government Tax Receipts and compared it to years that pre-ceded a recession. Here’s what ZH said about…

Interesting Insight on Unemployment and Recession from Dallas Fed. $

Sometimes we are geeky enough to dive into Federal Reserve research reports – and once in a while you dig out an interesting nugget. We’ll keep this short, but the…

2017:  The Year of Wage Growth $

2017:  The Year of Wage Growth  $

   Buckle in, 2017 could easily be the year of surges in wage growth and inflation – or recession. There’s probably going to be very little in-between which is why…

Opening Salvo in Trump’s Economic Campaign. $

Opening Salvo in Trump’s Economic Campaign.   $

We will start to sow in some comments about various economic positions by each candidate over time. This is not to knock one over the other, but to try and…

Trimmed Mean PCE Update. $

If you will recall, we like to give you the Trimmed Mean PCE from the Dallas Federal Reserve as a good practical gauge of inflation.  Much like judging at a…

Quick Review of Labor Report $

Quick Review of Labor Report   $

The July labor report shocked analysts across the board as the US economy added 255,000 jobs.  As usual, here is our rundown of the numbers and a quick take:…

Wholesale Inventory to Sales Ratio Improves in June. $

We have been watching and writing about the national inventory situation for about 16 months now. Wholesalers are among the heaviest among the overstocked sectors. The chart at right has…

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